Cittadella vs Padova Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cittadella Padova

Cittadella W D D W D L

Padova L L W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cittadella	Padova	3 - 0	August 11, 2019
Cittadella	Padova	1 - 1	March 30, 2019
Padova	Cittadella	0 - 0	November 3, 2018

Cittadella Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Torino	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Ravenna	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Ravenna	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Lumezzane	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Arzignano Valchiampo	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Giana Erminio	0 - 2	Loss

Padova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Ospitaletto	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Sassuolo	4 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Cesena	3 - 4	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Pescara	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Virtus Entella	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Reggiana	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Cittadella to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Cittadella has a 36.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.71 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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