Cleethorpes Town vs Grimsby Saturday 11th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Cleethorpes Town Grimsby

Cleethorpes Town L L L L W W

Grimsby W L D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cleethorpes Town	Grimsby	0 - 1	July 5, 2025
Cleethorpes Town	Grimsby	0 - 2	July 13, 2024
Cleethorpes Town	Grimsby	1 - 2	July 8, 2023
Cleethorpes Town	Grimsby	0 - 2	July 9, 2022
Cleethorpes Town	Grimsby	1 - 4	July 17, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Away	Carlton Town	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 25	Home	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Home	Grimsby	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 14, 24	Away	Kettering Town	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	Malvern Town	0 - 1	Win
Aug 17, 24	Home	Quorn	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 15, 26	Away	Salford City	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Salford City	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Tranmere	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Swindon Town	4 - 0	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Cambridge United	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Gillingham	1 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Cleethorpes Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Grimsby has a 38.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.93 %

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