Colegiales vs Patronato Saturday 08th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Primera Nacional

Colegiales

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

2 – 2

Full Time

Patronato

Match Analysis

Colegiales Patronato

Colegiales W W L L W W

Patronato D L D L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Colegiales holds a modest quality edge over Patronato and comes into the match with moderate recent form, while Patronato is struggling. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that slightly favor Colegiales. Additionally, recent meetings between the two teams have usually been tight and low-scoring, leading the model to suggest that both teams are unlikely to score and that the game will likely finish with under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Patronato	Colegiales	2 - 0	March 22, 2026
Colegiales	Patronato	0 - 0	August 24, 2025
Patronato	Colegiales	0 - 1	April 20, 2025

Colegiales Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Gimnasia Jujuy	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Quilmes	0 - 1	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Atlanta	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Quilmes	3 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	San Martin Tucuman	2 - 0	Win

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Quilmes	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Midland	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	San Martin Tucuman	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Midland	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Atletico DE Rafaela	0 - 0	Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Colegiales	22	8	5	9	21	21	0	29
31	Patronato	22	4	11	7	16	21	-5	23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Colegiales to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Colegiales has a 43.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.79 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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