Concarneau vs Lorient Saturday 11th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Concarneau Lorient

Concarneau D D D W D D

Lorient L W D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lorient	Concarneau	0 - 0	July 13, 2024
Concarneau	Lorient	3 - 3	July 15, 2023
Lorient	Concarneau	1 - 0	July 9, 2022
Lorient	Concarneau	0 - 0	July 9, 2021
Lorient	Concarneau	1 - 0	July 18, 2020

Concarneau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 15, 26	Home	Villefranche	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Caen	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Home	Gobelins	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	Stade Briochin	1 - 2	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	Rouen	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Away	Orleans	1 - 1	Draw

Lorient Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	LE Havre	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Metz	0 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Strasbourg	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Marseille	2 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Lyon	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Concarneau	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.23% likelihood that both Concarneau and Lorient will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lorient to win

This prediction indicates that Lorient has a 51.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.84 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs