Correcaminos Uat vs Guadalajara Chivas Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Correcaminos Uat Guadalajara Chivas

Correcaminos Uat L

Guadalajara Chivas L D W L D D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 21	Away	Atletico San Luis	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Tigres UANL	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Tigres UANL	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Club Tijuana	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 23, 26	Away	Necaxa	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
858	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
1647	Correcaminos Uat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Guadalajara Chivas has a 47.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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