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Challenge Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cove Rangers Dumbarton
Cove Rangers W L L L D L
Dumbarton L L L W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dumbarton Cove Rangers 2 - 0 July 25, 2026
Dumbarton Cove Rangers 1 - 3 April 12, 2025
Cove Rangers Dumbarton 2 - 1 February 22, 2025
Dumbarton Cove Rangers 0 - 3 November 2, 2024
Cove Rangers Dumbarton 1 - 1 August 17, 2024
Cove Rangers Dumbarton 1 - 0 April 23, 2022

Cove Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Peterhead 3 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away East Kilbride 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Away Stirling Albion 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away East Fife 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Airdrie United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Dumbarton 2 - 0 Loss

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Kelty Hearts 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Edinburgh City 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Airdrie United 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Clyde 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Cove Rangers 2 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that both Cove Rangers and Dumbarton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Cove Rangers to win
This prediction indicates that Cove Rangers has a 50.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.08 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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