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Challenge Cup

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Forfar Athletic Formartine United
Forfar Athletic D W W L L L
Formartine United L W W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Forfar Athletic Formartine United 2 - 1 July 6, 2024
Forfar Athletic Formartine United 2 - 1 July 8, 2023
Formartine United Forfar Athletic 0 - 2 October 23, 2021
Forfar Athletic Formartine United 1 - 0 August 10, 2021

Forfar Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Elgin City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Brechin 3 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Livingston 8 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Partick 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Loss

Formartine United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 24, 25 Home Buckie Thistle 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Away Lossiemouth 1 - 2 Win
Jul 19, 25 Home Aberdeen U21 3 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 25 Home Elgin City 1 - 3 Loss
Oct 26, 24 Away Brora Rangers 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 28, 24 Home Whitehill Welfare 2 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Forfar Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Forfar Athletic has a 41.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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