Hamilton Academical vs Edinburgh City Tuesday 25th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Hamilton Academical Edinburgh City

Hamilton Academical W W W L D W

Edinburgh City D L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hamilton Academical	Edinburgh City	2 - 3	August 27, 2025
Hamilton Academical	Edinburgh City	1 - 0	March 9, 2024
Edinburgh City	Hamilton Academical	2 - 5	December 30, 2023
Hamilton Academical	Edinburgh City	1 - 1	October 21, 2023
Edinburgh City	Hamilton Academical	0 - 3	August 19, 2023
Edinburgh City	Hamilton Academical	0 - 1	July 9, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 5	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Elgin City	5 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Spartans	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Elgin City	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Stranraer	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Falkirk	0 - 5	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Hamilton Academical has a 72.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.10 %

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