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Challenge Cup

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cowdenbeath East Kilbride
Cowdenbeath L D W W L W
East Kilbride D W L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Cowdenbeath Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 27, 25 Home Benburb 1 - 2 Loss
Nov 30, 24 Home Brechin 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 26, 24 Away Spartans 1 - 2 Win
Sep 28, 24 Home Rutherglen Glencairn 3 - 2 Win
Sep 7, 24 Home Morton 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 13, 24 Away Albion Rovers 3 - 4 Win

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Airdrie United 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Queen of the South 5 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away ST Mirren 4 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Dumbarton 5 - 3 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Cove Rangers 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Dunfermline 3 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.3% likelihood that both Cowdenbeath and East Kilbride will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
East Kilbride to win
This prediction indicates that East Kilbride has a 60.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.99 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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