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Challenge Cup

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dumbarton Celtic II
Dumbarton W L W L L L
Celtic II L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Clyde 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Cove Rangers 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away East Kilbride 5 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Dunfermline 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home ST Mirren 0 - 4 Loss

Celtic II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Peterhead 3 - 1 Loss
Dec 9, 25 Away Ross County 4 - 0 Loss
Nov 11, 25 Away East Kilbride 2 - 0 Loss
Oct 10, 25 Away East Fife 5 - 3 Loss
Sep 24, 25 Away Edinburgh City 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 6, 25 Away Alloa Athletic 5 - 4 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.86% likelihood that both Dumbarton and Celtic II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Dumbarton or Celtic II to win
This prediction indicates that Dumbarton has a 39.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.28 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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