Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21 Tuesday 25th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Alloa Athletic Motherwell U21

Alloa Athletic L D L D D L

Motherwell U21 L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	East Fife	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Falkirk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Stranraer	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 11, 25	Away	Queen of the South	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Away	Stenhousemuir	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 23, 25	Away	Stranraer	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 25	Away	Clyde	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 25	Away	East Kilbride	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 13, 25	Away	Hamilton Academical	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 58.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.82 %

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