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Challenge Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock II
Cowdenbeath L L D W W L
Kilmarnock II L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock II 4 - 2 July 30, 2024
Kilmarnock II Cowdenbeath 3 - 0 August 9, 2022

Cowdenbeath Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Edinburgh City 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Home Benburb 1 - 2 Loss
Nov 30, 24 Home Brechin 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 26, 24 Away Spartans 1 - 2 Win
Sep 28, 24 Home Rutherglen Glencairn 3 - 2 Win
Sep 7, 24 Home Morton 0 - 1 Loss

Kilmarnock II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away East Kilbride 5 - 3 Loss
Nov 11, 25 Away Annan Athletic 6 - 0 Loss
Oct 10, 25 Away Clyde 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 23, 25 Away Alloa Athletic 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 6, 25 Away Stenhousemuir 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 26, 25 Away East Fife 3 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.28% likelihood that both Cowdenbeath and Kilmarnock II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Cowdenbeath or Kilmarnock II to win
This prediction indicates that Cowdenbeath has a 41.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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