De Graafschap vs AEK Athens FC Sunday 12th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

De Graafschap AEK Athens FC

De Graafschap W D L L L W

AEK Athens FC D D W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Utrecht	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Almere City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Emmen	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	Cambuur	3 - 1	Win

AEK Athens FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Olympiakos Piraeus	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	PAOK	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Panathinaikos	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Panathinaikos	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	PAOK	3 - 0	Win
Apr 16, 26	Home	Rayo Vallecano	3 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1095	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
1629	AEK Athens FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.27% likelihood that both De Graafschap and AEK Athens FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

AEK Athens FC to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 34.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.58 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs