De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Eerste Divisie

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De Graafschap View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago

2 – 1

Full Time

Jong Utrecht View team ›

New signing: M. Diemers joined De Graafschap from Cambuur on 23 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

De Graafschap Jong Utrecht

De Graafschap D W L W L L

Jong Utrecht L W W D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht have often finished as draws, setting a pattern of close contests. However, the model sees De Graafschap as the stronger side overall and predicts they have a 58% chance of winning, which is higher than what the current odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 goals, reflecting a view that the game will be open and dynamic despite the recent evenness in shot volume.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
De Graafschap	Jong Utrecht	1 - 0	February 20, 2026
Jong Utrecht	De Graafschap	2 - 3	December 8, 2025
Jong Utrecht	De Graafschap	1 - 1	January 20, 2025
De Graafschap	Jong Utrecht	2 - 2	August 23, 2024
De Graafschap	Jong Utrecht	2 - 2	May 3, 2024
Jong Utrecht	De Graafschap	2 - 0	November 24, 2023

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Home	Den Bosch	1 - 0	Win
Sep 20, 26	Home	NAC Breda	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Emmen	1 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Heracles	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Almere City FC	1 - 4	Loss

Jong Utrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	VVV Venlo	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 14, 26	Home	Jong Ajax	6 - 1	Win
Sep 11, 26	Away	NAC Breda	2 - 3	Win
Sep 7, 26	Home	FC Eindhoven	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Jong AZ	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	FC OSS	2 - 1	Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11	22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.16% likelihood that both De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

De Graafschap to win

This prediction indicates that De Graafschap has a 57.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.42 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 75.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Jong Utrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

De Graafschap to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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