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Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
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Match Analysis

Deportivo Laferrere Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Laferrere W L W W D W
Arsenal Sarandi D D W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Arsenal Sarandi with a 36% probability. Despite Deportivo Laferrere's strong recent form, Arsenal Sarandi has a modest quality edge, which influences the prediction. The market odds imply a slightly stronger belief in an away win compared to the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a 47% chance that neither team will score, suggesting a possibly tight, low-scoring match, which aligns with the under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals predictions.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Arsenal Sarandi Deportivo Laferrere 3 - 0 March 28, 2026

Deportivo Laferrere Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Argentino de Merlo 1 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Talleres Remedios 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Ituzaingó 2 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Flandria 1 - 2 Win

Arsenal Sarandi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Deportivo Armenio 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Flandria 1 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Defensores Unidos 3 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Comunicaciones 1 - 2 Win

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Arsenal Sarandi 28 14 10 4 38 20 +18 52
8 Deportivo Laferrere 28 11 8 9 32 33 -1 41

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Arsenal Sarandi to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Arsenal Sarandi has a 35.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.79 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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