Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso Saturday 08th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Primera Nacional

Deportivo Moron

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

4 – 1

Full Time

Acassuso

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron Acassuso

Deportivo Moron L W D L L W

Acassuso D D L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Deportivo Moron and Acassuso are showing poor recent form, but Deportivo Moron carries a significant quality gap in their favor and has dominated recent meetings between the two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 59% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests it is unlikely that both teams will score, with only a 41% chance of ‘both teams to score’, aligning with the market’s view that this outcome is also unlikely.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Acassuso	Deportivo Moron	0 - 3	March 21, 2026
Acassuso	Deportivo Moron	2 - 4	April 2, 2017
Deportivo Moron	Acassuso	2 - 0	September 16, 2016
Deportivo Moron	Acassuso	0 - 0	July 26, 2015
Acassuso	Deportivo Moron	2 - 1	March 14, 2015
Deportivo Moron	Acassuso	0 - 1	November 5, 2014

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Chaco For Ever	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ferro Carril Oeste	4 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Deportivo Madryn	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Defensores De Belgrano	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Ciudad de Bolívar	1 - 2	Win

Acassuso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Colon Santa Fe	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	San Miguel	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Racing Cordoba	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Chaco For Ever	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	San Miguel	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	2 - 1	Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Deportivo Moron	22	11	5	6	33	21	+12	38
35	Acassuso	22	5	6	11	16	24	-8	21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Deportivo Moron to win

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 59.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.37 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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