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Primera Nacional

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron Acassuso
Deportivo Moron D L L W W W
Acassuso L D L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Acassuso Deportivo Moron 0 - 3 March 21, 2026
Acassuso Deportivo Moron 2 - 4 April 2, 2017
Deportivo Moron Acassuso 2 - 0 September 16, 2016
Deportivo Moron Acassuso 0 - 0 July 26, 2015
Acassuso Deportivo Moron 2 - 1 March 14, 2015
Deportivo Moron Acassuso 0 - 1 November 5, 2014

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 1 - 3 Win

Acassuso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home San Miguel 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Central Norte 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Deportivo Moron 20 10 5 5 29 19 +10 35
31 Acassuso 20 5 4 11 15 23 -8 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Moron to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 59.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.82 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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