USL Championship
Match Analysis
Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
D
L
W
W
W
D
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
W
D
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City | 1 - 1 | October 25, 2025 |
| Detroit City | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Detroit City | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 1 | November 2, 2024 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City | 2 - 3 | August 21, 2024 |
| Detroit City | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 1 | July 6, 2024 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City | 5 - 1 | May 13, 2023 |
Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Las Vegas Lights | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 2 - 6 | Win |
| Jun 10, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Lexington | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 1 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 | Detroit City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
Predictions
Detroit City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 34.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.98 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments