Dordrecht vs Emmen Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Eerste Divisie

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Dordrecht View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago

0 – 3

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Emmen View team ›

New signing: Y. van Osch joined Dordrecht from Waalwijk on 16 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Dordrecht Emmen

Dordrecht D W L L L L

Emmen D W L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Dordrecht have shown poor form recently, while Emmen come in with moderate form and a modest quality edge. Despite Dordrecht's historical dominance in head-to-head matches, the model predicts an away win with a 46% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also sees a strong likelihood of both teams scoring (63%) and both matches exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals (67% for each), aligning with the market's inclination towards a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dordrecht	Emmen	1 - 0	February 13, 2026
Emmen	Dordrecht	2 - 0	September 19, 2025
Dordrecht	Emmen	3 - 0	February 28, 2025
Emmen	Dordrecht	1 - 2	August 9, 2024
Dordrecht	Emmen	0 - 1	May 18, 2024
Emmen	Dordrecht	2 - 2	May 14, 2024

Dordrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Den Bosch	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 25, 26	Home	Almere City FC	3 - 2	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	FC OSS	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Jong AZ	3 - 6	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	FC Volendam	6 - 1	Loss

Emmen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Waalwijk	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	FC OSS	1 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	FC Volendam	5 - 3	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	VVV Venlo	4 - 0	Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19	18	+1	16
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.61% likelihood that both Dordrecht and Emmen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Emmen to win

This prediction indicates that Emmen has a 46.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Dordrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Emmen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Emmen to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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