Dover vs Gillingham Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Dover Gillingham

Dover D L L L L L

Gillingham W L L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dover	Gillingham	0 - 1	July 8, 2025
Dover	Gillingham	0 - 4	July 8, 2023
Dover	Gillingham	2 - 0	July 9, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Chesham United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Farnborough	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Ebbsfleet United	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Away	Salisbury	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Barnet	6 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Grimsby	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Salford City	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Dover	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

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