Drogheda United vs Portadown Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Drogheda United Portadown

Drogheda United L D L D D L

Portadown W W L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Derry City	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Shelbourne	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	St Patrick's Athl.	2 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Waterford	3 - 3	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Dundalk	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Waterford	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Bangor	2 - 4	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ballymena United	1 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Crusaders FC	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 7, 26	Home	Carrick Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Away	Glenavon FC	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 21, 26	Home	Crusaders FC	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
756	Drogheda United	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
1647	Portadown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Portadown has a 38.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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