Dundalk vs Bohemians Friday 09th October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 2, 2026 1 week, 6 days ago
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Match Analysis

Dundalk Bohemians
Dundalk L L D W L L
Bohemians D W W W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Dundalk and Bohemians have had fairly even matchups, but the current prediction leans toward an away win for Bohemians with a 51% chance. The model sees Bohemians as the stronger side due to their clear quality gap and better recent form, while Dundalk are coming in with weaker recent performance despite having more rest. The odds also suggest a strong chance of an away win, aligning closely with the model's view. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting a view that Bohemians' recent creation of more shooting chances will lead to a higher-scoring game than the market odds imply for totals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bohemians Dundalk 1 - 2 June 19, 2026
Dundalk Bohemians 1 - 3 May 8, 2026
Bohemians Dundalk 1 - 1 March 20, 2026
Dundalk Bohemians 0 - 2 September 27, 2024
Bohemians Dundalk 1 - 1 July 26, 2024
Dundalk Bohemians 2 - 0 April 26, 2024

Dundalk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Home Shelbourne 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 14, 26 Home St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 4 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Away Waterford 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Away Drogheda United 2 - 3 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Galway United 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Shamrock Rovers 3 - 2 Loss

Bohemians Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 26, 26 Home Bohemians 1905 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 18, 26 Home Drogheda United 2 - 1 Win
Sep 11, 26 Away Galway United 2 - 3 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Sligo Rovers 3 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Derry City 5 - 3 Win
Aug 13, 26 Away FC Midtjylland 3 - 2 Loss

Premier Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55 37 +18 56
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49 53 -4 41

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.74% likelihood that both Dundalk and Bohemians will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Bohemians to win
This prediction indicates that Bohemians has a 51.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.85 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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