Dungannon Swifts vs Institute Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dungannon Swifts Institute

Dungannon Swifts L W W L L L

Institute D D L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dungannon Swifts	Institute	0 - 0	July 26, 2025
Dungannon Swifts	Institute	3 - 3	July 27, 2024
Dungannon Swifts	Institute	4 - 0	July 22, 2023
Dungannon Swifts	Institute	2 - 0	January 25, 2020
Dungannon Swifts	Institute	2 - 2	December 21, 2019
Institute	Dungannon Swifts	2 - 3	August 13, 2019

Dungannon Swifts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 12, 26	Away	Linfield	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Cliftonville FC	1 - 2	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Carrick Rangers	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Larne	8 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Cliftonville FC	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Glentoran	5 - 0	Loss

Institute Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 25	Away	Crusaders FC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 25	Away	Dungannon Swifts	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 3, 24	Away	Coleraine FC	5 - 2	Loss
Jul 27, 24	Away	Dungannon Swifts	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 20, 24	Away	Cliftonville FC	6 - 2	Loss
May 3, 24	Away	Ballymena United	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Institute	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Dungannon Swifts	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.81% likelihood that both Dungannon Swifts and Institute will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dungannon Swifts to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Dungannon Swifts has a 36.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.74 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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