Challenge Cup
Match Analysis
East Kilbride
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
East Kilbride
L
W
W
D
W
L
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
W
D
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | East Kilbride | 0 - 0 | May 17, 2025 |
| East Kilbride | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 3 - 1 | May 10, 2025 |
| East Kilbride | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 3 - 1 | October 26, 2024 |
East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Montrose | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Cove Rangers | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Kilmarnock II | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Airdrie United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Queen of the South | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | ST Mirren | 4 - 3 | Loss |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Edinburgh City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Nov 29, 25 | Home | Spartans | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 25, 25 | Away | Cumbernauld Colts | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 27, 25 | Home | Broxburn Athletic | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 25 | Home | Dundee | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that both East Kilbride and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.East Kilbride to win
This prediction indicates that East Kilbride has a 63.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.87 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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