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J3 League

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
4 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ehime FC Nara Club
Ehime FC L L L W L W
Nara Club W D W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Ehime FC and Nara Club arrive with similar rest and are closely matched in overall quality, but Ehime are in poor recent form while Nara Club are in strong recent form. Despite Ehime's historical dominance in recent meetings, which have often included many goals, the model accounts for Ehime's current defensive struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply, and also suggests it is unlikely both teams will score, and that fewer than two goals will be scored in total.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ehime FC Nara Club 3 - 2 April 12, 2026
Nara Club Ehime FC 2 - 2 February 21, 2026
Nara Club Ehime FC 0 - 3 October 28, 2023
Ehime FC Nara Club 1 - 0 June 17, 2023

Ehime FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Kochi United 0 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 0 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kanazawa 0 - 2 Win

Nara Club Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home Oita Trinita 3 - 3 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 5 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 1 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Home Osaka 1 - 3 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Nara Club 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Ehime FC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ehime FC to win
This prediction indicates that Ehime FC has a 42.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.49 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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