Esbjerg vs Mafra Saturday 11th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Esbjerg Mafra

Esbjerg D W W D W L

Mafra L D W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Esbjerg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vejle	3 - 3	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lyngby	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Hillerød	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Kolding IF	3 - 0	Win
Apr 30, 26	Home	AC Horsens	0 - 1	Loss

Mafra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	CF Os Belenenses	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Academica	3 - 3	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Trofense	1 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Amarante	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Varzim	0 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
703	Esbjerg	7	1	3	3	13	14	-1	6
1629	Mafra	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that both Esbjerg and Mafra will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Mafra to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Mafra has a 36.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Friendlies Clubs