Evesham United vs Worcester City Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Evesham United Worcester City

Evesham United L W D W L L

Worcester City D D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Evesham United	Worcester City	3 - 0	July 25, 2023

Evesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 27, 25	Away	AFC Telford United	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 16, 25	Home	Racing Club Warwick	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Racing Club Warwick	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Home	Bromsgrove Sporting	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 25	Home	Cheltenham	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 6, 24	Away	Newcastle Town	3 - 2	Loss

Worcester City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 25	Away	Chasetown	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Home	Chasetown	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 25	Away	Gloucester City	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 25	Home	Kidderminster Harriers	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 25	Home	Newport County	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Home	Cheltenham	2 - 0	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Worcester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.34% likelihood that both Evesham United and Worcester City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Worcester City to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Worcester City has a 37.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs