Excelsior vs Cambuur Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Excelsior Cambuur

Excelsior W D W W D L

Cambuur W L D D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cambuur	Excelsior	0 - 1	August 2, 2025
Cambuur	Excelsior	1 - 0	January 17, 2025
Excelsior	Cambuur	0 - 1	October 26, 2024
Excelsior	Cambuur	4 - 1	March 19, 2023
Cambuur	Excelsior	0 - 2	August 6, 2022
Cambuur	Excelsior	7 - 2	April 5, 2021

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Groningen	2 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Utrecht	5 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	NEC Nijmegen	0 - 2	Loss

Cambuur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 24, 26	Home	Vitesse	2 - 1	Win
Apr 17, 26	Away	De Graafschap	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 10, 26	Away	Den Bosch	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Home	Dordrecht	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	VVV Venlo	3 - 0	Loss
Mar 24, 26	Away	Emmen	2 - 4	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Cambuur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.64% likelihood that both Excelsior and Cambuur will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cambuur to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Cambuur has a 37.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.11 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs