Fakel vs FC Rostov Tuesday 07th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Fakel FC Rostov

Fakel W D W D D L

FC Rostov L W W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fakel	FC Rostov	0 - 2	April 20, 2025
FC Rostov	Fakel	4 - 1	September 1, 2024
Fakel	FC Rostov	0 - 1	June 27, 2024
Fakel	FC Rostov	0 - 1	April 14, 2024
FC Rostov	Fakel	2 - 1	July 23, 2023
Fakel	FC Rostov	1 - 0	July 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Chayka	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Akron	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Makhachkala	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
285	Fakel	8	2	4	2	13	10	+3	10
299	FC Rostov	7	3	1	3	12	10	+2	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fakel will score 0 goals, and FC Rostov will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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