FC 08 Homburg vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FC 08 Homburg FC Emmelshausen-Karbach

FC 08 Homburg W W W L W W

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Home	Bahlinger SC	3 - 2	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	SV Meppen	1 - 4	Win
Feb 3, 26	Away	Rapid Wien II	0 - 2	Win
Jan 31, 26	Away	Freiburg II	3 - 2	Loss
Jan 25, 26	Home	Jeunesse Canach	6 - 0	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	VfR Mannheim	4 - 5	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 24, 26	Away	FSV Mainz 05 II	5 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
76	FC 08 Homburg	6	5	0	1	22	10	+12	15
2676	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC 08 Homburg has a 70.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.49 %

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