FC Basel 1893 vs FC Aarau Saturday 04th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Basel 1893 FC Aarau

FC Basel 1893 W L L L W L

FC Aarau D D D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Basel 1893	FC Aarau	2 - 3	January 10, 2024
FC Basel 1893	FC Aarau	3 - 3	July 10, 2021

FC Basel 1893 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Rapperswil	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	FC Lugano	4 - 0	Loss
May 14, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	BSC Young Boys	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	FC Thun	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Sion	0 - 2	Loss

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Stade Nyonnais	5 - 1	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	1 - 3	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
696	FC Basel 1893	4	2	0	2	14	14	0	6
1241	FC Aarau	3	1	0	2	7	9	-2	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.71% likelihood that both FC Basel 1893 and FC Aarau will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Basel 1893 to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Basel 1893 has a 38.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.40 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs