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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
4 – 2
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Match Analysis

FC Basel 1893 FC Thun
FC Basel 1893 L W D D L W
FC Thun W L D W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

FC Basel 1893 have been struggling in their recent games, while FC Thun have been performing moderately well. However, Basel have historically dominated FC Thun in past encounters, with many goals scored in those matches. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also expects both teams to score and for there to be more than 1.5 goals, aligning closely with the market odds for these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Basel 1893 FC Thun 3 - 1 May 2, 2026
FC Thun FC Basel 1893 3 - 1 April 18, 2026
FC Basel 1893 FC Thun 1 - 2 February 1, 2026
FC Thun FC Basel 1893 1 - 3 September 13, 2025
FC Basel 1893 FC Thun 2 - 0 January 11, 2025
FC Basel 1893 FC Thun 2 - 3 June 27, 2021

FC Basel 1893 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Lausanne 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Servette FC 0 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Juventus 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home FC Winterthur 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 8, 26 Home Yverdon Sport 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Rapperswil 0 - 3 Win

FC Thun Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 3 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home BSC Young Boys 0 - 6 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Luzern 1 - 3 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Waldhof Mannheim 1 - 2 Loss

Super League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 FC Basel 1893 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
9 FC Thun 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.89% likelihood that both FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC Basel 1893 to win
This prediction indicates that FC Basel 1893 has a 46.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.76 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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