FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FC Krasnodar FC Rostov

FC Krasnodar W D W L D W

FC Rostov L W W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Krasnodar	FC Rostov	2 - 1	February 28, 2026
FC Rostov	FC Krasnodar	0 - 0	September 27, 2025
FC Rostov	FC Krasnodar	0 - 1	March 16, 2025
FC Krasnodar	FC Rostov	2 - 0	September 14, 2024
FC Krasnodar	FC Rostov	3 - 2	July 6, 2024
FC Rostov	FC Krasnodar	2 - 1	March 8, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	PSK Dinskaya	5 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	3 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Dynamo	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Home	Dynamo	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Akron	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Akron	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Makhachkala	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
125	FC Krasnodar	7	4	1	2	16	6	+10	13
299	FC Rostov	7	3	1	3	12	10	+2	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Krasnodar has a 59.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.85 %

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