FC Lugano vs Rapperswil Saturday 04th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Lugano Rapperswil

FC Lugano W W D L W W

Rapperswil L W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Lugano	Rapperswil	2 - 0	July 8, 2022
FC Lugano	Rapperswil	1 - 1	July 3, 2021

FC Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	4 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	FC Sion	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	BSC Young Boys	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	FC Thun	0 - 1	Win

Rapperswil Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 24, 26	Away	Freienbach	1 - 3	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Stade Nyonnais	2 - 1	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Yverdon Sport	3 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Bellinzona	2 - 4	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
389	Rapperswil	5	3	0	2	12	9	+3	9
1285	FC Lugano	4	1	0	3	6	10	-4	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that both FC Lugano and Rapperswil will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rapperswil to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Rapperswil has a 37.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.39 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs