FC Luzern vs FC Winterthur Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Luzern FC Winterthur

FC Luzern W W W D W W

FC Winterthur L L W D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Winterthur	FC Luzern	0 - 3	May 16, 2026
FC Luzern	FC Winterthur	1 - 2	March 15, 2026
FC Luzern	FC Winterthur	1 - 3	November 29, 2025
FC Winterthur	FC Luzern	2 - 2	October 25, 2025
FC Luzern	FC Winterthur	3 - 2	February 9, 2025
FC Winterthur	FC Luzern	1 - 5	January 11, 2025

FC Luzern Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	3 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	FC Winterthur	0 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Home	FC Zurich	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Servette FC	3 - 3	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Lausanne	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 2	Win

FC Winterthur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	FC Luzern	0 - 3	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	3 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Lausanne	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	FC Zurich	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Servette FC	5 - 3	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
684	FC Luzern	3	2	0	1	7	6	+1	6
1271	FC Winterthur	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.42% likelihood that both FC Luzern and FC Winterthur will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Luzern to win

This prediction indicates that FC Luzern has a 51.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs