FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Orenburg CSKA Moscow

FC Orenburg L L W L W W

CSKA Moscow W W L L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Orenburg	CSKA Moscow	0 - 0	July 21, 2025
FC Orenburg	CSKA Moscow	0 - 2	April 12, 2025
CSKA Moscow	FC Orenburg	5 - 1	August 4, 2024
CSKA Moscow	FC Orenburg	1 - 1	March 2, 2024
CSKA Moscow	FC Orenburg	3 - 1	November 2, 2023
FC Orenburg	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	August 25, 2023

FC Orenburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 4, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Home	Rubin	1 - 0	Win
Feb 13, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Home	Alashkert	2 - 1	Win
Feb 6, 26	Home	Bunyodkor	5 - 1	Win

CSKA Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Lokomotiv	3 - 1	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 2	Win
May 6, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Zenit	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Rubin	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	FC Rostov	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
91	FC Orenburg	7	5	0	2	13	5	+8	15
195	CSKA Moscow	7	3	3	1	17	13	+4	12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.26% likelihood that both FC Orenburg and CSKA Moscow will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

CSKA Moscow to win

This prediction indicates that CSKA Moscow has a 46.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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