FC Orenburg vs FK Neftekhimik Thursday 25th June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FC Orenburg FK Neftekhimik

FC Orenburg L W L W W W

FK Neftekhimik D L D L L W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Neftekhimik	FC Orenburg	2 - 1	March 6, 2022
FC Orenburg	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 0	August 29, 2021
FK Neftekhimik	FC Orenburg	1 - 2	November 15, 2020
FC Orenburg	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 0	August 8, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 4, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Home	Rubin	1 - 0	Win
Feb 13, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Home	Alashkert	2 - 1	Win
Feb 6, 26	Home	Bunyodkor	5 - 1	Win
Jan 31, 26	Home	Mornar	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Home	KAMAZ	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Ska-khabarovsk	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Chelyabinsk	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Enisey	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Home	Chernomorets	4 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
74	FC Orenburg	6	5	0	1	13	4	+9	15
491	FK Neftekhimik	6	1	4	1	10	8	+2	7

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Orenburg has a 37.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.81 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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