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USL Championship
FC Tulsa logo FC Tulsa
Aug. 30, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Rhode Island logo Rhode Island

Match Analysis

FC Tulsa Rhode Island
FC Tulsa L W W D W L
Rhode Island W L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rhode Island FC Tulsa 2 - 1 September 21, 2024

FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Detroit City 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Lexington 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Home El Paso Locomotive 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Colorado Springs 1 - 2 Loss

Rhode Island Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Colorado Springs 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Hartford Athletic 1 - 0 Win
Jul 9, 26 Away Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Orange County SC 1 - 1 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 FC Tulsa 17 8 5 4 20 16 +4 29
13 Rhode Island 17 7 4 6 27 19 +8 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
FC Tulsa to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 39.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.56 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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USL Championship

Sacramento Republic vs Lexington an hour from now · 6 a.m. › Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn 31 minutes from now · 5:30 a.m. › Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay a minute from now · 5 a.m. › Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion 58 minutes ago · 4 a.m. › New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa 28 minutes ago · 4:30 a.m. › San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive 58 minutes ago · 4 a.m. › Orange County SC vs Louisville City a minute from now · 5 a.m. ›