Forres Mechanics vs Inverness CT Friday 03rd July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Forres Mechanics Inverness CT

Forres Mechanics L L L L L D

Inverness CT W W W D W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ross County	1 - 5	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Home	Caledonian Braves	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 28, 24	Home	Jeanfield Swifts	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 2, 24	Home	Elgin City	2 - 5	Loss
Oct 28, 23	Home	Buckie Thistle	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 23, 23	Away	Golspie Sutherland	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clachnacuddin	1 - 3	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Nairn County	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	East Fife	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	1 - 0	Win
Apr 14, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
627	Inverness CT	2	2	0	0	6	2	+4	6
2676	Forres Mechanics	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Inverness CT has a 72.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.50 %

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