Fortuna Sittard vs Genk Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fortuna Sittard Genk

Fortuna Sittard L W L L D L

Genk D W D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Genk	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 0	August 23, 2024

Fortuna Sittard Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Utrecht	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	PEC Zwolle	3 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Feyenoord	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Heerenveen	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	NAC Breda	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Away	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 0	Loss

Genk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Gent	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	OH Leuven	0 - 2	Win
May 19, 26	Home	Antwerp	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Standard Liege	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	KVC Westerlo	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Charleroi	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1186	Genk	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
1629	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that both Fortuna Sittard and Genk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Genk to win

This prediction indicates that Genk has a 43.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.98 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs