Górnik Łęczna vs Chełmianka Chełm Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Górnik Łęczna Chełmianka Chełm

Górnik Łęczna L L L L L D

Chełmianka Chełm D L L W L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Górnik Łęczna	Chełmianka Chełm	2 - 2	January 24, 2026
Górnik Łęczna	Chełmianka Chełm	0 - 1	July 28, 2024

Górnik Łęczna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Dinamo Bucuresti	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	ŁKS Łódź	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Odra Opole	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Polonia Warszawa	2 - 1	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Slask Wroclaw	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Znicz Pruszków	2 - 2	Draw

Chełmianka Chełm Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 24, 26	Away	Górnik Łęczna	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 17, 26	Away	Stal Mielec	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 15, 25	Home	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 1, 25	Home	Lewart	6 - 1	Win
Jan 25, 25	Away	Świdniczanka Świdnik	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 24	Away	Górnik Łęczna	0 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
361	Górnik Łęczna	6	2	3	1	14	8	+6	9
1576	Chełmianka Chełm	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that both Górnik Łęczna and Chełmianka Chełm will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Górnik Łęczna to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Górnik Łęczna has a 38.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs