Gloucester City vs Newport County Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Gloucester City Newport County

Gloucester City L W D W D L

Newport County W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Gloucester City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 25	Home	Chippenham Town	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Away	AFC Portchester	0 - 2	Win
Aug 30, 25	Home	AFC Portchester	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 25	Home	Worcester City	2 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Oxford City	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 25	Home	Barry Town	1 - 2	Loss

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Barrow	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Oldham	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	2 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Notts County	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Newport County	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Gloucester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that both Gloucester City and Newport County will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Newport County to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Newport County has a 36.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.88 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs