GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL Saturday 10th October 2026 04:15 PM football predictions.

FKF Premier League

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GOR Mahia View team ›

Oct. 13, 2026 8 hours ago

4 – 2

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Murang'a SEAL View team ›

Match Analysis

GOR Mahia Murang'a SEAL

GOR Mahia L L L D W D

Murang'a SEAL W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for GOR Mahia with a 65% probability. Despite GOR Mahia’s poor recent form, the model sees a clear quality gap favoring them, and they have dominated recent meetings between the two teams, often with many goals. However, the model also notes that Murang'a SEAL have a rest advantage and GOR Mahia’s own recent form is weak, which slightly tempers the confidence. The market odds also suggest a strong favor towards a home win, aligning closely with the model's view.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Murang'a SEAL	GOR Mahia	1 - 3	May 17, 2026
GOR Mahia	Murang'a SEAL	3 - 2	January 14, 2026
Murang'a SEAL	GOR Mahia	0 - 0	May 18, 2025
GOR Mahia	Murang'a SEAL	2 - 2	November 2, 2024
Murang'a SEAL	GOR Mahia	1 - 3	May 4, 2024
GOR Mahia	Murang'a SEAL	0 - 0	November 11, 2023

GOR Mahia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Pyramids FC	5 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Pyramids FC	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Nairobi United	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Mara Sugar	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Murang'a SEAL	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Police	1 - 1	Draw

Murang'a SEAL Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Mara Sugar	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Bidco United	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	GOR Mahia	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Homeboyz	1 - 0	Win
May 6, 26	Away	Police	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Kariobangi Sharks	1 - 0	Loss

FKF Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Murang'a SEAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	GOR Mahia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 62.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

GOR Mahia to win

This prediction indicates that GOR Mahia has a 64.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.66 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. › AFC Leopards vs Bandari 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

GOR Mahia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Murang'a SEAL Form (Last 6 Matches)

FKF Premier League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

GOR Mahia to win

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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