Grazer AK vs SV Kapfenberg Saturday 11th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Grazer AK SV Kapfenberg

Grazer AK L D W D W L

SV Kapfenberg L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grazer AK	SV Kapfenberg	2 - 0	March 26, 2026
Grazer AK	SV Kapfenberg	2 - 0	July 19, 2025
Grazer AK	SV Kapfenberg	4 - 1	January 25, 2025
SV Kapfenberg	Grazer AK	1 - 4	July 13, 2024
Grazer AK	SV Kapfenberg	4 - 2	May 25, 2024
Grazer AK	SV Kapfenberg	2 - 1	February 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Home	Slovan Bratislava	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Gyori ETO FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	FC BW Linz	0 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	SCR Altach	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	WSG Wattens	4 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Wolfsberger AC	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Away	Austria Klagenfurt	1 - 0	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Austria Vienna (Am)	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	SKN ST. Polten	0 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	FC Liefering	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Austria Salzburg	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
182	Grazer AK	8	3	3	2	14	8	+6	12
422	SV Kapfenberg	10	2	3	5	9	12	-3	9

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Grazer AK has a 54.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.67 %

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