Greifswalder FC vs Neustrelitz Saturday 11th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Greifswalder FC Neustrelitz

Greifswalder FC L D W L L L

Neustrelitz L L D L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 26	Away	VfB Lubeck	3 - 1	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Home	Flota Świnoujście	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 25	Home	VfB Lubeck	3 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 25	Away	Energie Cottbus	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Home	Hansa Rostock	2 - 3	Loss
Jan 22, 25	Away	VfB Lubeck	4 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 25	Away	Luckenwalde	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 25	Away	Croatia Berlin	7 - 1	Loss
Jan 14, 24	Away	Hansa Rostock II	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 8, 23	Home	Lichtenberg	2 - 3	Loss
Jan 14, 23	Away	Türkspor Berlin	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 29, 22	Home	Karlsruher SC	0 - 8	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1555	Greifswalder FC	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
1629	Neustrelitz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Greifswalder FC has a 45.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.34 %

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