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Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Groene Ster AFC Amsterdam
Groene Ster W L D D L L
AFC Amsterdam W L W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Groene Ster Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Heerjansdam 2 - 1 Win
Jul 3, 26 Home AS Eupen 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 24, 25 Home SC Genemuiden 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 3, 25 Away Heino 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 6, 24 Home Roda 0 - 3 Loss
Oct 31, 23 Home Vitesse 0 - 1 Loss

AFC Amsterdam Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 1, 26 Away Be Quick 1887 0 - 2 Win
Dec 16, 25 Home NEC Nijmegen 1 - 3 Loss
Oct 30, 25 Away Eemdijk 1 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 25 Away Spakenburg 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 2, 25 Away Almere City II 3 - 0 Loss
Dec 18, 24 Home Utrecht 0 - 8 Loss

Predictions

Groene Ster or AFC Amsterdam to win
This prediction indicates that Groene Ster has a 41.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.56 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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