Groningen vs Emmen Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Groningen Emmen

Groningen L W W L L D

Emmen W D L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Groningen	Emmen	3 - 2	July 20, 2024
Emmen	Groningen	0 - 3	April 1, 2024
Groningen	Emmen	0 - 0	October 23, 2023
Groningen	Emmen	1 - 1	July 29, 2023
Groningen	Emmen	1 - 1	February 18, 2023
Emmen	Groningen	0 - 0	October 30, 2022

Groningen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Away	Ajax	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Heracles	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Excelsior	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Feyenoord	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	GO Ahead Eagles	0 - 0	Draw

Emmen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 24, 26	Home	De Graafschap	1 - 0	Win
Apr 17, 26	Away	Roda	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Away	Waalwijk	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	MVV	2 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Vitesse	3 - 3	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Away	FC Eindhoven	1 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2793	Groningen	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.54% likelihood that both Groningen and Emmen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Emmen to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Emmen has a 34.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.42 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs