Guimaraes vs Chaves Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Guimaraes Chaves

Guimaraes D W W W W L

Chaves L W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chaves	Guimaraes	2 - 1	August 2, 2025
Chaves	Guimaraes	1 - 2	March 17, 2024
Guimaraes	Chaves	5 - 0	October 28, 2023
Guimaraes	Chaves	2 - 1	January 30, 2023
Chaves	Guimaraes	0 - 1	August 7, 2022
Guimaraes	Chaves	4 - 0	April 6, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Nottingham Forest	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Al-Ahli Jeddah	1 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Penafiel	5 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Academica	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Felgueiras 1932	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Nacional	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Guimaraes B	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Amarante	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Vizela	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Fafe	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	AVS	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Chaves II	1 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Guimaraes has a 66.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.09 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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