USL Championship
Match Analysis
Hartford Athletic
Birmingham Legion
Hartford Athletic
D
L
D
L
D
L
Birmingham Legion
W
L
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 0 | March 11, 2026 |
| Birmingham Legion | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 4 | August 10, 2025 |
| Hartford Athletic | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 0 | April 19, 2025 |
| Birmingham Legion | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 2 | August 3, 2024 |
| Hartford Athletic | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 0 | March 23, 2024 |
| Birmingham Legion | Hartford Athletic | 3 - 2 | April 30, 2023 |
Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 1 - 1 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 20 |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Hartford Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Hartford Athletic has a 45.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.72 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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