USL Championship
Match Analysis
Hartford Athletic
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Hartford Athletic
W
D
L
D
L
D
Tampa Bay Rowdies
D
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 1 | June 13, 2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Hartford Athletic | 3 - 2 | October 18, 2025 |
| Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2025 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 2 | October 23, 2024 |
| Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 1 | June 21, 2024 |
| Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 2 | September 27, 2023 |
Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Miami FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 20 | +18 | 44 |
| 19 | Hartford Athletic | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 24 |
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 41.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.03 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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