USL Championship
Match Analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
D
W
L
L
W
L
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2 - 1 | June 21, 2025 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 1 | September 14, 2024 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 0 | April 6, 2024 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 2 | October 7, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Lexington | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 0 - 2 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | +14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tampa Bay Rowdies to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 36.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.42 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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